Random Forest Nowcast and Forecast

Boosted Trees Nowcast and Forecast

Maxnet Trees Nowcast and Forecast

GAM Nowcast and Forecast

GLM Nowcast and Forecast

Metrics

Metrics by model type
model_type accuracy boyce_cont roc_auc tss_max
rf 0.9560557 0.9283954 0.9949700 0.9575936
bt 0.8563773 0.9794225 0.9002266 0.6736049
maxnet 0.6184352 0.9453899 0.7489139 0.4059630
gam NA NA 0.7779285 NA
glm NA NA 0.7109401 NA

Variable Importance